Сибирский центр климато-экологических исследований и образования

Предварительная программа школы

Лекции и практические занятия будут проходить в Институте вычислительной матетматики РАН, Москва, ул. Губкина, 8

 

27/05/19

10:00-10:20

 School directors, INM director, (Roshydromet representative)

 Opening, organizational matters

10:20-11:20
Lecture

 

Bill Merryfield, Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Canada

Seasonal prediction

11:20-11:45
Coffee break

 

 

Lecture
  11:45-12:45

 

Adrian Tompkins, ICTP,  Italy

An Introduction to ERA-5 and the Eurosip seasonal forecasts: overview of the products and the system

 

 Lunch 12:45-14:00

Labs (incl. introduction)
14:00-15:30, 16:00-17:30

Adrian Tompkins, ICTP,  Italy

C3S seasonal forecasts and ERA5

 

 Coffee break 15:30-16:00

 

 


28/05

Type

Name

Title

Lecture 09:30-10:30

Bill Merryfield, Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Canada

North American Multi-Model Ensemble

Lecture
10:40-11:40

 

Laura Ferranti, ECMWF, UK

Subseasonal predictions: sources of predictability and current skill

Coffee break
11:40-12:05

 

 

 Lecture  12:05-12:35

Mikhail Tolstykh, Marchuk Institute of Numerical Mathematics Russian Academy of Sciences, and Hydrometcentre of Russia, Russia

 

New Russian long-range prediction system

Lunch 12:35-14:00

Labs 14:00-15:30, 16:00-17:30
Coffee break 15:30-16:00

Ramiro Saurral, CIMA, University of Buenos Aires, Argentina

 Introduction to CHFP

 
 


 

29/05

 

 

 

Lecture 10:00-11:00

Valentina Khan, Hydrometcentre of Russia, North Eurasia Climate Centre, Russia

Operational prediction within Climate Services Information System of WMO

Lecture 11:05-11:35

 

 

Evgeny Volodin, Marchuk Institute of Numerical Mathematics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia

Earth system model of INM RAS as an instrument for future decadal prediction of climate changes

Coffee break 11:35-12:00
 

 

 

Lecture
12:00-13:00

 

Debbie Hudson, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Australia

Subseasonal and seasonal forecast verification

Lunch 13:00-14:15

Labs 14:15-15:45, 16:15-17:45
Coffee break 15:45-16:15

Doug Smith, Met Office,  UK

Using Decadal forecasting

 

30/05 2019

Type

 Name

Title

Lecture 10:00-11:00

Lee, June-Yi, Pusan National University, Republic of Korea

Seasonal to Multi-year Prediction and Predictability

Coffee break 11:00-11:30

 

 

Lecture

11:30-12:35

 

Ramiro Saurral, CIMA, University of Buenos Aires, Argentina

Initial shocks and drifts in decadal climate predictions

Lunch 12:35-14:00

Labs 14:00-15:30, 16:00-17:30
Coffee break 15:30-16:00

Angel Munoz, IRI, Columbia University, USA

The IRI data library

Reception 18:00-20:00

 

 

 


31/05

Lecture 10:00-11:00

Lauriane Batte, Meteo-France, France 

Dealing with uncertainties in seasonal predictions

Coffee break 11:00-11:30

 

 

Lecture 11:30-12:30

 

 

Angel Munoz, IRI, Columbia University, USA

 

Calibration and verification of seasonal and sub-seasonal forecasts

Lunch 12:30-14:00

Labs 14:00-15:30, 16:00-17:30
Coffee break 15:30-16:00

Adrian Tompkins, ICTP,  Italy

Open sessions (possible to also demonstrate S2S)
Report of groups on their tasks