Siberian center for Environmental Research and Training

Conference program

Please, pay attention that the program is in Central European Time (CET)

 

Tuesday, 8 September

13:20 Welcome & Introduction

13:30 Ana Russo: Hot and dry meteorological extremes in the Mediterranean

14:00 Christian Franzke: Spatial and Temporal Modeling of Precipitation Extremes

Session 1: Monitoring of weather and climate extremes

14:30 Durneva E.A.: Variability of planetary high-altitude frontal zones in the Northern Hemisphere from 1991 to 2019 in the summer and their location during extreme weather events

14:50 João Geirinhas (IDL Lisbon): Historical assessment of concurrent summer drought and heatwave events in Southeast Brazil

10 minutes break

Session 2: Statistical methods for analysis and modelling of weather and climate extremes

15:20 Fedotova E.V., Klimenko V.V.: Empiric approach to forecast hot extremes for energy modeling

15:40 Kharyutkina E.V., Loginov S.V., Martynova Yu.V., Kakurkina O.Yu.: Extreme atmospheric precipitation in Western Siberia based on different databases

16:00 Cherenkova E.A., Semenov V.A. , Titkova T.B. : An empirical method for predicting extreme low winter sea ice extent in the Russian Arctic in the 21st century under global warming (on the example of the Barents Sea)

Session 4: Impact of extreme weather and climate events on socio-economic, ecological systems and public health

16:20 Andreia Ribeiro (IDL Lisbon): Agricultural impacts of compound dry and hot extremes in the Iberian Peninsula

16:40 End of Day 1


Wednesday, 9 September

12:30 Kai Kornhuber: Amplified Rossby Waves, concurrent Weather Extremes and Agricultural Impacts

13:00 Reik Donner: Event coincidence analysis for identifying large-scale spatiotemporal patterns of extreme precipitation and their possible teleconnective drivers

Session 3: Modeling and forecasting of weather and climate extremes

13:30 Sterin A.M., Lavrov A.S.: On the long period trend estimates for the upper-air extreme and sub-extreme temperatures by use of quantile regression

13:50 Shestakova A.A., Toropov P.A., Repina I.A.: Methodological aspects of orographic winds analysis and modelling in the Arctic

14:10 Platonov V.S., Varentsov M.I.: A new detailed long-term hydrometeorological dataset: first results of extreme characteristics estimations over the Russia Arctic seas

10 minutes break

14:40 Platonov V.S., Kislov A.V., Myslenkov S.A.: High-resolution wind speed and waves modeling, and an assessment of mesoscale peculiarities caused by coastline parameters and relief at near-shore Kara Sea regions

Session 4: Impact of extreme weather and climate events on socio-economic, ecological systems and public health

15:00 Garmaev E.Zh., Tsydypov B.Z., Ayurzhanaev A.A., Sodnomov B.V., Pyankov S.V., Shikhov A.N., Abdullin R.K.: Mapping of hazardous hydrological events in the Russian part of Selenga river basin

15:20 Matskovsky V., Semenyak N., Morozova P., Kuznetsova V., Solomina O.: Estimated influence of extreme climate events in 21st century on radial growth of pine in Povolzhie region (European Russia)

15:40 Sterin A. M., Oganesyan V.V.: Assessments of potential damages in monetary terms from dangerous and adverse meteorological events on the territory of the Russian Federation  

16:00 Chernykh V.N., Alymbaeva Zh.B., Andreev S.G., Ayurzhanaev A.A., Tsydypov B.Z.: Windthrows in the pine forests of the Tsagan-Daban ridge (central part of the Selenginsky high mountains)

16:20 Valov M.V., Barmin A.N., Tatarintsev S.A., Kolchin E.A.: Extreme climate events as an influence factor on the Volga delta ecological systems

16:40 End of Day 2


Thursday, 10 September 

12:50 Davide Faranda: Machine learning in a changing climate: challenges and opportunities

13:20 Gabriele Messori: Extreme events in atmospheric meridional energy transport

13:50 Dim Coumou: Persistent Summer Extremes: Trends, drivers and agricultural risks

Session 5: Spatial-temporal structures and mechanisms of formation of weather and climatic extreme events

14:20 Martynova Y, Krupchatnikov V, Gochakov A, Antokhina O: Variation of atmospheric instability characteristics against the background of regional surface thermodynamic conditions during fall-winter season

Session 6: Air pollution transport and extreme events

14:40 E. Genikhovich, V. Kirillova, V. Nikolaev, E. Yakovleva, D. Rumyantsev, N. Vylitok: Modelling of extreme concentrations of atmospheric pollutants, their forecast and practical applications in Russia

10 minutes break

15:10 Poster Session

Efimova N.V.1, Gornov A.Yu.2, Zarodnyuk T.S.2, Anikin A.S.2 (1East Siberian Institute of Medical and Environmental Research, Angarsk, 2Matrosov Institute of System Dynamics and Control Theory SB RAS, Irkutsk, Russia) Assessment and forecast of regional risks and medical and social consequences in conditions of climate change

Frolov D.M. (2Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia) Influence of extreme weather conditions and snow accumulation regime on soil freezing in Russia in winter 2019/2020 

Kuznetsova V.P. (Nizhnevartovsk State University, Nizhnevartovsk, Russia) Analyzing extreme weather phenomena in the context of modern climate change in northern regions

Loginov S.V.1, Eliseev A.V.2,3, Kharyutkina E.V.1 (1Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems SB RAS, Tomsk, 2Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, 3A.M.Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, Moscow, Russia)

Features in spatial distribution of higher order cumulants of meteorological anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere

Nechepurenko O.E.1, Pustovalov K.N.1,2, Gorbatenko V.P.1 (1Tomsk State University, Tomsk, 2Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems SB RAS, Tomsk, Russia) Correlation of lightning frequency and convective thermodynamic parameters of the atmosphere over of Western Siberia

Pustovalov K.N. 1,2, Gorbatenko V.P. 1, Konstantinova D.A. 1, Nechepurenko O.E. 1 (1Tomsk State University, Tomsk, 2Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems SB RAS, Tomsk, Russia) The comparison of lightning activity registered by different lightning detection systems in the south-east of Western Siberia

Shikhov A.N.1, Belyakova P.A.2, Perminov S.I.3, Moreido V.M.2 (1Perm State University, Perm,  2Water Problems Institute of RAS, Moscow, 3SCANEX Group, Moscow, Russia) Accuracy assessment of heavy rainfall forecasting in the Krasnodar territory with the use of ICON-EU regional atmospheric model

Gershunov A.1,2, Shulgina T.1,2, Clemesha R. E. S 2, Guirguis K.1,2,
Pierce D. W.2, Dettinger M.D.3, David A. Lavers D.A. 4, Cayan D.R.2, Polade S.D.5, Kalansky J.1,2 & F. Martin Ralph M.1,2 (1Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E), Scripps Institution of Oceanography, 2Climate, Atmospheric Science and Physical Oceanography (CASPO), Scripps Institution of Oceanography, 3United States Geologic Survey, 4European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), 5Finnish Meteorological Institute) The role of atmospheric rivers in precipitation regime change in western North America 

Sivkov B.A. (Perm State National Research University, Perm, Russia) Extreme precipitation and features of their precipitation in the territory of Perm region

Stefanovich  A.A., Voskresenskaya E.N., Lubkov A.S. (Institute of Natural and Technical Systems, Sevastopol, Russia) Variability of extreme values of bioclimatic indices in the Crimean resorts

Sukhonos O.Yu., Voskresenskaya E.N. (Institute of Natural and Technical Systems, Sevastopol, Russia) Changes of extreme air temperature in the Black sea region

Tartakovsky V.A., Cheredko N.N., and Maximov V.G. (Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems SB RAS, Tomsk, Russia) Extreme rates of the temperature according to weather stations in the Northern Hemisphere

Trukhanov A.E., Kochugova Е.А. (Irkutsk State University, Irkutsk, Russia) Role of atmospheric circulation in the formation of anomaly warm and anomaly cold winters in the Asian territory of Russia

Volkova M.A.1, Cheredko N.N.2 (1Tomsk State University, 2Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems SB RAS, Tomsk, Russia) Variability of characteristics and conditions leading to the formation of extreme precipitation events in the south of Western Siberia

Vyshkvarkova E., Sukhonos O. (Institute of natural and technical systems, Sevastopol, Russia) Changes of temperature and precipitation extremes in the south of Russia associated with El Niño events

16:40 End of Day 3